During Q3 2026 four equities (stimulated by perceived AI growth opportunities) — $MSFT, $NVDA, $AAPL and $META — added about 300 points to the gain in the S&P index, representing more than 200% of the index’s total gain. The other 496 stocks subtracted approximately 150 points: Back to AI “concentration” credit risks — specifically that private …
Read in context ›Microsoft Stock (MSFT)
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205 mentionsMore Tales From Nvidia: In the Stock Market It Is AI All the Time… and More (Issue #257!) Microsoft, at a Glance In the Microsoft ($MSFT) chart below readers will see a huge Double Bottom pattern of bullish reversal with a $466 pivot. The shares broke out of that pattern, then faltered. It is at that point that these shares found support just above my pivot. I find that encouraging. The MACD could be in better shape, but Relative …
Read in context ›More Tales From Nvidia: The Furious Race to Get IPOs Done and My Objections to ARR (Issue #242!) It looks like Broadcom ($AVGO) is already back for another fix. It really makes me wonder how there is enough savings in the world to do this, although the Treasury market is telling you there isn’t: Broadcom CDS Explodes As It Seeks Up To $100 Billion In Massive Off-Balance Sheet Debt Deal At any rate, …
Read in context ›More Tales From Nvidia: And More Ironies (Issue #232) Two definitions of irony: * Softbank needs to use their stock in OpenAI to fund their next investment into OpenAI: SoftBank Uses OpenAI Stake to Borrow $10 Billion Google ($GOOGL), who actually in theory has money needs to sell more debt to fund their investments into AI, and credit spreads blow out further. * Microsoft …
Read in context ›More Tales From Nvidia: Tokens and Erratum (Issue #230!) This chart is pretty good on tokens: https://openrouter.ai/rankings?view=month A few observations: * Looking at the chart, token UNITS interestingly seem to be really flattening overall. * Re chart later in this note, token pricing is cratering. In part because unit growth is slowing, in part because the current pricing is dis-economic for customers, and in part …
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