We're Setting New Panic Points for 11 Holdings Ahead of the Fed Policy Update
Strong gains in multiple holdings mean that we have some catching up to do.
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In getting ready for the next several days that will bring the Fed’s next policy decision and an updated set of economic projections that will see the central bank cull back the number of rate cuts it sees in 2025, we are revisiting and in some cases resetting existing panic points for the Portfolio’s holdings.
As we make these adjustments, we will remind you that panic points are not like stop-loss and automatic levels at which we pull the rip chord on a position. Panic points are levels at which we take a hard look at the shares, assessing the latest data and potential for the shares to rebound in the coming weeks and months… or not. When we pick up additional shares of a position, should we be taking advantage of pullback, we usually adjust its panic point. You’ll see some of that below, notably with shares of Builders FirstSource BLDR given our share purchase on Monday.
Let’s get to it:
We are moving our Apple AAPL panic point to $200 from $185
Earlier today we reset our Amazon AMZN panic point at $180 when we upped our price target for the shares to $260.
After we scooped up some additional BLDR shares on Monday, we should have reset our panic point to $145 from $160. As we make that change, we’ll call out the shares crossing into oversold territory, with an RSI of 29.6. The last time this happened was back in July, and it proved to be a smart time to pick up some shares. The same was true 13 months ago when BLDR shares were almost oversold.
While wait for Dutch Bros BROS to give more details on its expanding food offering, we are inching our panic point on the shares to $42 from $40.
Continued strength in cybersecurity demand has lifted our shares of the First Trust Nasdaq Cybersecurity ETF CIBR double-digits quarter to date. That is leading us to increase our panic point to $55 from $50.
We recently lifted our price target for Costco COST shares to $1,050, and now we making a similar move with our panic point to $800 from $750.
Following the strong post-earnings report showing put in by Elastic ESTC shares, up more than 20% over in the last four weeks, we are resetting our panic point at $82, up from $68.
The recent double-digit move in Meta META shares is leading us to lift that panic point to $500 from $475.
Despite today’s modest setback in Marvell MRVL shares, they have been a champ for the Portfolio as our thesis continues to play out. We recapped that thesis in Tuesday's video, and the more than 50% move quarter to date sees us upping our panic point to $90 from $68.
We are once again notching our ServiceNow NOW panic point higher, this time pushing it to $900 from $860.
For Trade Desk TTD shares, which are up almost 20% so far this quarter, it’s time to reset our panic point at $105, up from $98.
More Pro Portfolio
- 5 Buys We're Making Following a 'Sigh of Relief' November CPI Report
- Weekly Roundup: Dueling Factors Lead to Mixed Results Ahead of the Fed
- The Cost of Living, the Cost of Aging: Headlines That Speak to Our Portfolio
At the time of publication, TheStreet Pro Portfolio was long BLDR, AAPL, AMZN, BROS, CIBR, COST, ESTC, META, MRVL, NOW and TTD.
