trade-ideas

Can Ford Get It in Gear for an Upside Breakout?

Let's kick the tires for clues on this rally's destination.

Jul 12, 2024, 3:05 PM EDT

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The Ford Motor Company F has seen many ups and downs in its long corporate history. Ford's share price has rallied in recent weeks and could be gearing up for a key upside breakout. 

Let's kick the tires so to speak of the charts and indicators.

In the daily bar chart of F, below, I can see that the shares have rallied to test and maybe break the April highs. Prices are trading above the rising 50-day moving average line and above the bottoming 200-day line. 

The trading volume looks like it has remained steady but the On-Balance-Volume (OBV) line is showing us some recent strength. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) oscillator is in a bullish alignment above the zero line.

In the weekly Japanese candlestick chart of F, below, I can see that prices have been hammering out a base pattern the past two years. Prices trade above the bottoming 40-week moving average line. 

The weekly OBV line is okay but I would like to see more strength out of this indicator. The MACD oscillator is slightly above the zero line. The real breakout point, in my book, is for F to close above its 2023 highs in the $15.50 area.

In this daily Point and Figure chart of F, below, I can see an upside price target in the $19 area.

In this weekly Point and Figure chart of F, below, I can see an $18 price target.

Bottom-line strategy: The automotive industry is hard — CEOs have to deal with constantly shifting trends, government actions, tariffs, labor issues and more.

If F can keep climbing it might be time to buckle up before a breakout over the highs of 2023.

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