Programming Note
I have a call at 1130 AM and a research call at 1:30 PM today.
Both will take about thirty minutes.
Position: None
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 11:42 AM EDT
I have a call at 1130 AM and a research call at 1:30 PM today.
Both will take about thirty minutes.
Position: None
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 11:42 AM EDT
– NYSE volume 35% below its one-month average;
– Nasdaq volume 33% below its one-month average;
– VIX index: down 0.63% to 15.74




Positions: None.
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 11:25 AM EDT
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 10:45 AM EDT
For the second time in a month MSOS (MSOS) is my Trade of the Week.
Investors are likely misinterpreting the progress at the current hearings that l expect will lead to a rescheduling of adult recreations use of cannabis.
I have aggressively added to MSOS and the individual stocks in this period of weakness for the previous reasons mentioned in my Diary (markets are stabilizing, the fiscal debt cliff has been resolved with numerous refinancings (at favorable terms), likely resolution of tax (UTP) and custodian issues that will lead to rising institutional demand, etc..)
Positions: Long MSOS VL
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 10:30 AM EDT

Positions: None.
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 10:25 AM EDT
Moved to small-sized index shorts:
* SPY (SPY) $753.10
* QQQ (QQQ) $723.35
Positions: Short SPY S QQQ S
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 10:00 AM EDT
While I don’t think this initiative has a material meaning or consequence, it probably contributed to some confusion and likely took cannabis stocks lower late Thursday.
I was an aggressive buyer (as previously noted) in the correction:
Position: Long MSOS VL
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 10:00 AM EDT
* Whoa Nelly!
Here is a terrific chart which graphically shows how much share of the stock market technology has risen over the last three decades:

Positions: None.
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 9:50 AM EDT
Added to following shorts:
* SPY (SPY) $752.76
* QQQ (QQQ) $722.46
* GRNY (GRNY) $27.86
Positions: Short SPY VS QQQ VS GRNY M
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 9:45 AM EDT
Positions: None.
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 9:35 AM EDT
-WDFC +16% (earnings, guidance)
-EQPT +12% (raises guidance and announces buyback program)
-CRCL +11% (receives OCC approval to establish First National Digital Currency Bank)
-CCC +9.5% (considering sale and hires Morgan Stanley as advisor)
-PERF +9.2% (enters going-private merger agreement at $2.00/shr cash)
-SEI +4.8% (to replace CPRX in the S&P SmallCap 600 Index)
-TWLO +2.6% (Stifel Nicolaus Raised TWLO to Buy from Hold, price target: $260)
-UUUU +2.5% (insider buys)
-SILO -20% (prices private placement of 620.0K shares at $6.452/shr with warrants)
-FRMI -13% (prices upsized $375M 5.00% convertible senior notes due 2031)
-BKD -5.6% (reports June operating metrics including occupancy)
-SXT -3.7% (Holder reportedly said to be offering 2.05M shares at $114-116/share worth $237.7M in block trade)
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 9:05 AM EDT

Positions: None.
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 8:45 AM EDT
* With head cheerleader Drawdown Josh Brown, Fin TV, emboldened by relative and absolute price action, are now universally bullish on Apple (see my comments below)
* One I agree with… (we shorted APPL in the premarket at $315)
From Felix Wang (the analytical obstetrician and mortician on Apple!) at Hedgeye:
My comments from three days ago:
https://pro.thestreet.com/dougs-daily-diary/2026-07-08#apple-sis-boom-huh-1783509301
Positions: Short AAPL VS
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 8:31 AM EDT

Positions: None
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 8:19 AM EDT
Following the conflicted slew of buy initiations from Wall Street’s sell-side, we remain short of SpaceX (SPCX):
Position: Short SPCX (VS)
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 8:00 AM EDT
From The Stock Trader’s Almanac:
NASDAQ’s annual “Christmas in July” Midyear Rally, defined as the last three trading days of June through the first nine trading days of July, is nearing its conclusion, and 2026 has largely followed the script. After a powerful advance into late June, the rally did pause as traders locked in gains, digested fresh economic data and reacted to the latest headlines. As of today’s close, July 9, NASDAQ has advanced 3.35% with three trading days to go.

While the final outcome remains to be seen, the recent consolidation is not unusual and fits the historical tendency for the rally to experience brief interruptions before a final push. Since 1985, this 12-trading-day seasonal window has produced an average gain of 2.5% and finished higher in roughly four out of every five years, making it one of NASDAQ’s most consistent seasonal patterns. Whether the rally can finish with another burst higher or begins to fade into the typical second-half summer lull will likely set the tone for the balance of July.
NASDAQ Seasonal MACD Update
NASDAQ’s Seasonal MACD indicator entered June in negative territory and remained there until today. As of today’s close, it is positive. Currently NASDAQ would need to decline at least 342.20 points (–1.31%) in a single day to turn its MACD (12-26-9) negative. Continue to hold associated positions in QQQ and IWM.

When NASDAQ’s Seasonal Sell signal criteria are satisfied, we will send an email to all members. As a reminder, we use daily closing prices to calculate MACD. Any intraday signal does not apply. At that time, we will finish repositioning the Portfolios for the “Worst Months” and anticipate adding to some or possibly all of the existing bond ETFs and cash holdings in the Tactical Seasonal Switching Strategy portfolio.
Position: Short QQQ (VS)
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 7:50 AM EDT
Position: None
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 7:40 AM EDT

Position: None
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 7:30 AM EDT
* Costco and Walmart’s share prices continue to fall…
Position: None
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 7:20 AM EDT
Position: None
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 7:10 AM EDT
Position: None
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 7:00 AM EDT
Wolf Street howls about the rising supply of unsold residential units.
Position: None
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 6:50 AM EDT
Position: None
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 6:40 AM EDT
Here were yesterday’s things:
* New short position — Bloom Energy (BE) at $265.39
* New option position — Bought Nvidia (NVDA) puts
* Reshorted SPY at $748.88 and QQQ at $722.58
* Shorted GRNY at $27.81
* Shorted JOET at $45.97
* Reshorted Morgan Stanley (MS) at $223.61
* Supersized long MSOS at $4.46
Position: Long MSOS (VL), NVDA puts; Short SPY (VS), QQQ (VS), MS (S), GRNY (M), JOET (S), BE (S)
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 6:30 AM EDT
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 6:20 AM EDT
With a record $397 billion of cash, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) (BRK.B) can buy all but 26 of the constituent members of the S&P 500:

Position: None
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 6:10 AM EDT
Wolf Street howls about U.S. crude oil production.
Position: None
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 6:00 AM EDT
The S&P Oscillator remains in the same narrow overbought range at 2.55% vs. 2.16%.
Position: Short SPY (VS), QQQ (VS)
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 5:50 AM EDT
Higher stock prices yesterday on lower volume:
– NYSE volume 24% below its one-month average
– NASDAQ volume 35% below its one-month average
Position: None
BY Doug Kass · Jul 10, 2026, 5:40 AM EDT
Bitcoin fell to its 2nd most oversold level in history on the monthly chart 🚨 The only time it was lower was December 2022, when $BTC went on to soar 660% over the next 3 years 📈 🥳 🤑
Felix Wang called the iPhone super cycle when no one else would. $AAPL is up +18.8% since he went long in Oct. 2025. Now he's flipping from Long to Short. The super cycle he called is breaking, and he sees -23% downside from here. See why👇
Costco $COST falls to its lowest price in more than 6 months 📉 📉 $1.50 Hot Dogs aren't bringing in customers anymore?
Tomorrow's premium: The massive Hater's Guide To The Memory Crisis, and how hyperscalers made everything more expensive by buying billions in AI GPUs, helping the RAM cartel screw the entire tech industry by diverting supply to HBM. Here's $10 off annual. …ronswheresyouredatghostio.outpost.pub/public/promo-s…
SpaceX $SPCX has now lost $1 Trillion in market cap since hitting an all-time high last month 📉 📉
Stock Market Crash "Hindenburg Omen" Triggered 🚨 The Hindenburg Omen, an indicator that correctly detected the 1987 and 2008 stock market crashes, has been triggered 11 times over the last month for the Nasdaq, the most in history 🤯👀 Show more
Bears are going to love these Hindenburg so called Omens. For the first time ever, Nasdaq stocks have triggered 11 Hindenburg Omens in a single month. In the past, 8+ Hindenburg Omens preceded major drawdowns. But in this bull market, the indicator has been useless. $SPY $QQQ
🚨THIS HAS NEVER HAPPENED THIS CENTURY: The correlation between the S&P 500 equal-weighted index and the S&P 500 itself has dropped to ~78%, its lowest level on record. This is happening because a small group of mega-cap stocks continue to dominate the index. The 10 largest Show more