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If You're in Nike, I Wouldn't Want to Be in Your Shoes

Shoemaker stumbles hard after guidance disappoints, and leaves investors only one way to run: Away.

Jun 28, 2024, 8:30 AM EDT

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Shares of footwear giant Nike Inc. NKE are trading about 14% lower Friday in the pre-market. Investors and analysts are disappointed in the company's guidance. 

NKE reported fourth-quarter revenue that missed analysts' estimates and said the results drove the company to update its fiscal 2025 guidance

In my June 17 review of NKE, I said that "NKE has been showing us some improvement since early April. Traders who can risk two consecutive closes below $90 could go long." 

NKE is likely to close below $90 today and traders should cut their losses.

Let's check a few charts.

In this daily bar chart of NKE, below, I can see the price action through Thursday's close. Prices were trading/testing the 50-day moving average line during much of June. Trading volume remained flat during June and the On-Balance-Volume (OBV) line has stayed neutral. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) oscillator is only slightly above the zero-line.

In this daily Point and Figure chart of NKE, below, the chart has not been updated with the pre-market action. When the market opens Friday the software should generate a downside price target. A target of $80 or lower would not be a surprise to me.

Bottom line strategy: Traders who may be long NKE should exit as quickly as possible.

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