Taking Gains, Raising Cash
Dear Action Alerts PLUS Subscriber,
We've enjoyed a great run in the portfolio, up better than 17% year-to-date as I write this. That's double what the S&P 500 has returned.
The prudent move after this run is to raise some cash. I think this market will trend higher, but I don't want to take the risk that some of these gains will slip back into losses.
After you read this note, I am going to sell 1,500 shares of Royal Dutch RD. I think ChevronTexaco (CVX) and BP (BP) have more upside potential at these levels. Both stocks could be due for some analyst upgrades when the market realizes just how inexpensive this sector is.
I also want to sell 500 of my 1,500 Target (TGT) shares here, around $35.31. a share. The retailer said that comp sales picked up last week, but I feel that my thesis that Target would be an early mover in a recovery rally has mostly played out.
I think it's also prudent to sell 10,000 shares of Conexant Systems (CNXT) at $3.53. The stock has flirted with this level a few times before, and I have a 130% unrealized gain on the position sheets. I would be piggish not to book some profits here.
Conexant still will make up 5% of my portfolio after this trade. A lot of the near-term gains from the Mindspeed spin may already be factored in, but I was very encouraged by the recent insider purchase by Scott Mercer. The new Director is the CFO of Western Digital (WDC) by day, and just ponied up to buy 50,000 CNXT shares with his own money. He obviously sees something at Conexant he likes, because this is a statement purchase.
These trades would give me nearly $200,000 in cash. While I want to be positioned for the next buying opportunity, money market funds just aren't paying much these days. With the benchmark long-term treasury yielding just 3.47%, I think dividend-paying stocks remain a solid bet.
That's why I'm going to buy 1,000 shares of Eastman Chemical (EMN) here at $32.01. The stock yields 5.5% at these levels, an attractive return, even before the new dividend tax cut. Eastman also is seeing a significant margin recovery, with per share earnings expected to almost double this year. This purchase will give me a total of 2,500 EMN shares.
Regards,
James J. Cramer
DISCLOSURE: At the time of publication, Cramer was long Royal Dutch, ChevronTexaco, BP, Target, Conexant and Eastman Chemical. ********************************************************* READ MORE CRAMER Stay in tune with Cramer's thinking throughout the trading day by reading his columns on RealMoney. Click here to subscribe:
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James J. Cramer is a Markets Commentator for TheStreet.com and CNBC, and a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. TheStreet.com is a publisher and has registered as an investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. We are not a registered broker-dealer.
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