Skip to main content

Why QE Amounts to Theft

U.S. dollars will be anything but safe if the Fed continues its insane easing programs.
  • Author:
  • Publish date:
Comments

Fed chief Ben Bernanke would have us all believe that he can keep printing money (i.e., pursue quantitative easing programs) while maintaining the value of the U.S. dollar. If only this were true, we could eliminate all taxes and just continuously run the presses to pay government employees, retirees, vendors and so on.

Imagine you owned shares of a company that has 1 million shares outstanding and issued. This company, XYZ Corp., traded at $10 per share when it declared a 10% stock dividend to shareholders as of a future record date. A 10% dividend would be equivalent, in every aspect, to an 11-for-10 stock split. 

Before the ex-dividend date, XYZ had a market cap of $10 million (1 million shares, multiplied by $10). Immediately after the ex- date, there would be 1.1 million shares that theoretically would be trading for about $9.09 each. Why? The extra shares were simply smaller slices of the same entity. The market cap would still remain at $10 million.

No sound, thinking investor should be willing to pay the same $10 price for a lesser piece of the same total pie. Imagine if XYZ repeated this 10% stock dividend process again just a few months later. There would then be 1.21 million shares outstanding, but the smaller pieces of the company's equity would be worth only $8.26 or so if the overall worth of the firm was unchanged from the original value. 

QE programs are the Fed's version of stock dividends. They create new dollars, on paper or through book entry, diluting the value of all dollars that existed prior to the creation of this "new money." 

Holders of dollars, unlike owners of stock, can't easily see this process happening. There is no "quote" for the greenback for the average citizen to see. Sophisticated investors can keep track of trade weighted values and dollar-euro or dollar-yen ratios, et cetera -- but, with so many ever-changing variables, the average American has no idea that their life savings are being diluted away on a regular basis. 

Monday's hint of a QE 3 program sent the Dow up more than 160 points. I believe it was because knowledgeable people are more afraid of the guaranteed devaluation of their dollars' buying power than they are of the values of profitable companies declining on an inflation-adjusted basis.

Problems elsewhere in the world have sent money into U.S. dollars as a "safe haven" play, but our fiat currency will be anything but safe if the Fed continues its insane QE programs. Buyers of soft commodities, gold, silver, oil and real estate are trying to protect their life savings from the dilutive effects of issuing money that was never earned. 

You would not pay the same for $614 for Apple (AAPL) shares if they had already split 10 for 1. You shouldn't put up with Uncle Ben's slow-motion and stealthy theft of your hard-earned savings, either.

Let your voices be heard before it's too late.

At the time of publication, Price had no positions in the securities mentioned.