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The Troubled Affair of Sprint and T-Mobile

Selloff in TMUS yesterday presents an opportunity today.
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She loves me. She loves me not.

The on-again, off-again engagement of T-Mobile (TMUS) and Sprint (S) is apparently off again. If I'm a TMUS long, I'm not too upset about the potential for no merger. Of the two, I view TMUS as much stronger. I'm amazed that Sprint -- well, Softbank really -- is balking at giving up control. Sprint has a huge debt load and bottom-line numbers are struggling to break even. TMUS has its own share of debt, albeit smaller, but the company has strong free cash flow and sits in a position of strong profitability as it continues to snag market share from other cellphone carriers.

This isn't to say Sprint is useless. The company holds a significant portion of the high-frequency 5G market and will likely be the biggest beneficiary when 5G becomes the new standard. Meanwhile, T-Mobile has launched a narrowband network to capture the lead in the race for Internet of Things devices. A combination of these two specialties could create a formidable competitor to both Verizon (VZ) and AT&T (T) . Furthermore, TMUS could use its ties to Deutsche Telecom to refinance Sprint's debt to more attractive rates.

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Together or apart, the selloff in TMUS yesterday presents an opportunity today. Unfortunately, there could be some short-term overhang and the stock may trade sideways for a few weeks. For that reason, I'm looking to be a put seller on TMUS. 

Selling the Nov. 24 options on most names holds appeal to me. These expire the day after Thanksgiving, and that's generally a sleepy week in terms of market volatility, plus it houses a day and a half of closed market. 

The trade:

Sell to open 1 Nov. 24 $59 put at $1.14 or better.

Net proceeds $114

Max reward $114

Max risk $5,786

Max rate of return: 2%

Days until expiration: 24

Potential annualized rate of return: 30%

At the time of publication, Collins had no positions in the stocks mentioned.